U.S. stocks end lower in choppy session after data shows inflation running hottest since 1981
U.S. stocks ended modestly lower Tuesday, erasing earlier gains, as investors questioned whether the sharpest rise in the consumer price index in more than 40 years marks peak inflation.
What happened
-
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA
fell 87.72 points, or 0.3%, to close at 34,220.36, after rising as much as 362 points, or 1.05%, in earlier activity. -
The S&P 500
SPX
fell 15.08 points, or 0.3%, to finish at 4,397.45, giving up an earlier gain of as much as 1.3%. -
The Nasdaq Composite
COMP
ended at 13,371.57, down 40.38 points, or 0.3%, after rising 2.04% at its session high. - The Dow’s turn south marked its biggest blown lead since March 11, while the turns lower for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were the biggest such moves since March 8, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
On Monday, the Dow fell 413 points, or 1.2%, while the S&P 500 declined 1.7% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.2%. The S&P 500 ended the session down 7% on the year.
What drove markets
U.S. consumer prices rose 1.2% in March, the Labor Department reported on Tuesday. Year over year, prices rose 8.5% — the fastest pace since January 1982.
But the news that initially cheered investors was that core price growth slowed to a 0.3% monthly rise versus expectations for a 0.5% increase. That still nudged the year-over-year rate to a 40-year high of 6.5%.
Analysts said the core reading was somewhat encouraging but cautioned against reading too much into it.
“The best you can say is that core CPI came in lower than expected at ‘only’ 6.5%,” said Matt Peron, director of research at Janus Henderson Investors. “That might give some relief to markets which were preparing for the worst.”
See: Torrid inflation, now at 8.5%, ignites further debate in markets over where U.S. goes from here
The key, he said, is whether inflation has peaked and, if so, how fast it will decline. “While this reading probably locks in a more aggressive Fed action near-term, there is some reason to believe that CPI will decline enough by year-end to avoid the most severe Fed action.”
Read: Inflation in March ran hotter than expected. Here’s the good news.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury
BX:TMUBMUSD10Y,
which on Monday reached a three-year high, dropped 5.5 basis points to 2.724%. The surge in yields has been making stocks less attractive on a relative basis and has weighed in particular on technology and other so-called growth shares whose valuations are based on earnings and cash flow far into the future.
A rebound by oil futures also accelerated in the afternoon, with the U.S. benchmark
CL
jumping 6.7% to close at $100.60 a barrel.
Investors were also awaiting the unofficial kickoff of corporate earnings reporting season on Wednesday, with results due from JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM,
while other big Wall Street banks were due to report on Thursday.
Earnings Outlook: U.S. banks are facing body blows from Ukraine war and a slump in investment banking activity
Companies in focus
-
Shares of CarMax Inc.
KMX
fell 9.5% after the used-car retailer missed fiscal fourth-quarter profit estimates, offsetting a revenue beat.
How other assets traded
-
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
DXY,
a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, rose 0.4%. -
Gold futures
GC00
rose 1.4%, to settle at $1,976.10 an ounce, extending its winning streak to four sessions. -
The Stoxx Europe 600
XX:SXXP
fell 0.4%, while London’s FTSE 100
UK:UKX
declined 0.5%. -
The Shanghai Composite
CN:SHCOMP
rose 1.5%, while the Hang Seng Index
HK:HSI
rose 0.5% in Hong Kong and Japan’s Nikkei 225
JP:NIK
slumped 1.8%.
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